Last week, chemical products rose TOP10: ammonium nitrate (4.2%), acrylic acid (3.1%), potassium chloride (1.3%), natural rubber (4.3%), pure benzene (2.1%), propylene (2.1%), ethylene (1.9%), styrene (1.4%), PP (1.2%), butadiene (1.1%). Judging from this week's situation, chemical products prices rebounded in the early stage, and upstream chemicals such as benzene, ethylene, and propylene rebounded significantly under the influence of crude oil and natural gas; and most of the downstream chemical products are in demand. Under the drag, prices remained weak, and only a few species such as acrylic acid and esters, ammonium nitrate, etc. had a more significant increase. It is expected that the prices of most chemical products will also remain stable in the short term, and the spread will be reduced.
The price of cotton has bottomed out and the price of polyester staple fiber is expected to stabilize. This week, the cotton futures price has been slightly consolidating on the basis of the previous bottoming-out, basically maintaining a price of 27,000 yuan/ton. This week, the price of polyester staple fiber dropped slightly from 13,200 yuan/ton to 12,850 yuan/ton, and the decline was substantially reduced. It is estimated that the price of cotton will run at 23,000 yuan/ton next year. Assume that the difference between cotton and polyester staple fiber is 8,000 yuan/ton, and the average price of polyester staple fiber is 15000-16,000 yuan/ton next year. However, the current price of polyester staple fiber is far from reflecting its reasonable value level due to oversold. Xiake Environmental Protection and Huaxi Village have not been able to respond to the current price, and continue to recommend Xiake Environmental Protection and Huaxi Village.
Concerned about the opportunities and risks of cuts in power cuts and emissions reductions. In the second half of the year, the country started an assault-style power cut and emission reduction campaign, which led to restrictions on the start-up of some chemical products and the upstream and downstream (especially the high energy-consuming backward production capacity). Sudden supply restrictions have caused a rapid turnaround in some industries. As the year ends, the short-term power cuts and pressure reductions are expected to ease. The progress of energy-saving and emission-reduction during the 11th Five-Year Plan period has gradually completed the indicator requirements, and the restrictions on the use of electricity throughout the country have gradually slowed down. The distorted supply and demand relationship of some chemical products will gradually reproduce the true relationship between supply and demand. Dyestuffs and auxiliaries will benefit from the rise in demand brought about by the end of power cuts, while soda ash, chlor-alkali, etc. may be oversupply again.
The international giant raised textile chemical prices. On December 9th, Clariant's Textile Chemicals Business Unit announced that the prices of textile chemicals and textile dyes operated by the company were raised by 15%, and the price increase would take effect immediately. We are optimistic about the expectations of domestic textile chemicals prices, especially the effect of the increase in demand after the end of power restrictions.
Urea continued to decline slightly, and phosphate fertilizers remained strong. The continued delay of light reserves may present great opportunities in the spring plowing period. Dealers are still waiting to see if off-season reserves start to promote price stability. If businesses continue to wait and see, spring plowing next year is likely to have the shortage of circulation stock we have been suggesting. Once the fertilizer needs to be released, there may be concentrated buying. .
The price of cotton has bottomed out and the price of polyester staple fiber is expected to stabilize. This week, the cotton futures price has been slightly consolidating on the basis of the previous bottoming-out, basically maintaining a price of 27,000 yuan/ton. This week, the price of polyester staple fiber dropped slightly from 13,200 yuan/ton to 12,850 yuan/ton, and the decline was substantially reduced. It is estimated that the price of cotton will run at 23,000 yuan/ton next year. Assume that the difference between cotton and polyester staple fiber is 8,000 yuan/ton, and the average price of polyester staple fiber is 15000-16,000 yuan/ton next year. However, the current price of polyester staple fiber is far from reflecting its reasonable value level due to oversold. Xiake Environmental Protection and Huaxi Village have not been able to respond to the current price, and continue to recommend Xiake Environmental Protection and Huaxi Village.
Concerned about the opportunities and risks of cuts in power cuts and emissions reductions. In the second half of the year, the country started an assault-style power cut and emission reduction campaign, which led to restrictions on the start-up of some chemical products and the upstream and downstream (especially the high energy-consuming backward production capacity). Sudden supply restrictions have caused a rapid turnaround in some industries. As the year ends, the short-term power cuts and pressure reductions are expected to ease. The progress of energy-saving and emission-reduction during the 11th Five-Year Plan period has gradually completed the indicator requirements, and the restrictions on the use of electricity throughout the country have gradually slowed down. The distorted supply and demand relationship of some chemical products will gradually reproduce the true relationship between supply and demand. Dyestuffs and auxiliaries will benefit from the rise in demand brought about by the end of power cuts, while soda ash, chlor-alkali, etc. may be oversupply again.
The international giant raised textile chemical prices. On December 9th, Clariant's Textile Chemicals Business Unit announced that the prices of textile chemicals and textile dyes operated by the company were raised by 15%, and the price increase would take effect immediately. We are optimistic about the expectations of domestic textile chemicals prices, especially the effect of the increase in demand after the end of power restrictions.
Urea continued to decline slightly, and phosphate fertilizers remained strong. The continued delay of light reserves may present great opportunities in the spring plowing period. Dealers are still waiting to see if off-season reserves start to promote price stability. If businesses continue to wait and see, spring plowing next year is likely to have the shortage of circulation stock we have been suggesting. Once the fertilizer needs to be released, there may be concentrated buying. .
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